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Jayant Mundhra

Ā ā€¢Ā 

Dexter Capital AdvisorsĀ ā€¢Ā 21d

Hereā€™s the real reason why TITAN didnā€™t get into lab-grown diamonds, but TRENT did šŸ™ŒšŸ™Œ This will be long about what played out in the Tata group. So, read on! .. LGDs made for ~3% of engagement rings sold in the US in 2020. That jumped to 6% in 2021. To 10% in 2022. And, 35% in 2023. And itā€™s estimated to be ~55% already! .. One would think, it would have been a bonanza had someone built a biz in this space early. -> But, so many new players entered the scene, that competition sparked a bloodbath šŸ“›šŸ“› -> The market is witnessing a big wave of consolidation, with many players selling themselves to each other at big discounts After all, the prices have crumbled dramatically. .. And what compounded the trouble was the abundant INDIAN supply! šŸ™ŒšŸ™Œ -> With Indian LGD production alone surging >12x in the last 4yrs, the supplies in the global market has ballooned -> And our production costs are so low, that the unit economics of players in the US who were making diamonds by themselves were making no sense That sparked trouble. .. And one of the entities which suffered in this mayhem was a company called Clean Origins. Founded in 2017, it was the only LGD seller in the US, to only sell LGDs. Just 2yrs after its foundation, it was growing by >100% every year. This drew the attention of Indiaā€™s No.1 branded jewellery retailer - Tata Groupā€™s Titan! .. Titan invested $20mn into the company in March 2022. This got it a front-view seat to the worldā€™s largest and highest penetration market for LGDs. But, as Clean Origins crumbled in the above-explained competition, it sold itself to a competitor in June this year. Thus, Titan burnt its hands in the worldā€™s No.1 market for LGDs šŸ“›šŸ“› .. Thatā€™s why, there is fear, that what competitive mayhem has erupted in the US, will also erupt in India where the LGD space is still new. Hence the decision to not pursue this space for now, either via Tanishq or CaratLane. Not because it would bring down the brand value of those two flagships, as has been widely assumed by Indian media šŸ“›šŸ“› .. Meanwhile, with TRENT having grown manifold larger and faster than many Tata companies in the last 4yrs, the Noel Tata-led management has earned the clout to pursue its own independent path. -> Thus, with Titan not pursing any opportunity in the LGD space for now, TRENT saw an opening within the Tata group, to launch its private label in the LGD space under Westside -> This is just like how Titan launched Taneira and SKINN when TRENT was the one which held more relevant experience Meanwhile, who knows? Once the market stabilises, we could also see TRENT sell its LGD biz to Titan, like it sold Tata Cliq to Tata Digital. ..

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