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Harsh Dwivedi

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Medial • 2d

Everyone's panicking about the proposed $100K H-1B visa fee, but here's how I think it will actually play out, especially for startups and tech jobs. If this fee really goes through, the first group to feel the pain will be early-stage startups in the US. These are the teams that rely on immigrant engineers to ship product fast, and suddenly they'd be staring at massive added costs just to keep talent in the country. Many of them won't pay. They'll simply stop sponsoring visas. What happens next? Two things. First, we'd see a lot more remote hiring. Instead of going through the headache of immigration, companies would just open dev offices in India, Eastern Europe, or Latin America and hire directly. Second, we'd likely see a shift in global talent flow, a kind of "brain drain reversal." Fewer people would dream to move to the US, and more would choose to build from home. In a way, this could accelerate the trend we're already seeing: Silicon Valley is no longer just in California. It's everywhere, especially Bengaluru. If this rule passes, that shift just gets 10x faster.

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