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Dexter Capital Advisorsย โขย 8m
This whole brokerage reports biz is such a big stock market scam nobody talks about ๐๐ In the latest such instance, US-based brokerage called RBC Capital has come out with a very bullish report on Elon Muskโs Tesla. And this brokerage has valued Tesla's completely idea-stage robotaxi business idea at a staggering $879 billion based on a 2040 revenue forecast. How? They're projecting future revenue decades away, slapping a 10 times multiple on it like some magical wand, and then discounting it back at a 7.5% rate to today. Iโll be maintaining my grace if I call this preposterous hyper-astronomical BS. .. And this is a widespread scam across brokerages worldwide, including those that operate in Indian stock markets -> So many instances, where they tell you share price targets for 2030, 2035, or even beyond, with the same reckless abandon for reality Let me illustrate with a recent example. .. In Sep, Goldman Sachs & Bank of America had released very bullish research reports which gave Ola Electric a target of Rs 160 and Rs 145 respectively. On what basis? A guesstimate basis which they had managed to project 1> How many of Olaโs present-day and future scooter models, and the yet to be launched motorcycles and auto rickshaws and cars will continue to sell every year till FY30 2> At what price points and margins these will be sold, and with what subsidy support from the Govt (if any at all by that year) Using those guesstimates, the analysts involved had gone as far as to say that Ola Electric would: 1> EBITDA breakeven by FY27 2> Hit EBITDA margin of 12% by FY30 3> Be free cash flow breakeven by FY30 4> Deliver return on invested capital (ROIC) of 27% 5> And achieve a revenue growth of over 40% CAGR from FY24 to FY30 .. These brokerages conjure up numbers out of thin air, completely disregarding geopolitical shifts, domestic policy changes, or even the potential obsolescence of the technology they're betting on. What if there's a global economic downturn? Or what if a breakthrough technology renders these vehicles obsolete? These projections are dangerously delusional. -> And of course, they discount the endless things that could go wrong with the business itself in so many years ahead -> It's like predicting the weather for next month based on today's sunshine -> They are literally rigging the markets, pumping and dumping stocks And the sad part is, there are no repercussions. ..

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Dexter Capital Advisorsย โขย 1y
#Deepdive: So, what happened to Gensol Groupโs electric car? ๐๐ BluSmartโs founder Anmol Jaggi had announced long ago that his listed company Gensol will get into the manufacturing of EVs which would then be deployed by BluSmart. The plan was to
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Dexter Capital Advisorsย โขย 1y
#DataDeepdive: Delhi Govtโs education success, that even CM Kejriwal missed talking about ๐๐ -> No. of schools in Delhi has fallen for 7 straight years -> Same for the number of teachers. As a result, the no. of students per teacher has hit an al
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Founder And CEO Of F...ย โขย 11m
'Buy Suzlon', says Morgan Stanley after stock corrects sharply from peak Brokerage firm Morgan Stanley has upgraded shares of wind energy solutions provider Suzlon Energy Ltd. to "overweight" from its earlier rating of "equalweight" on Tuesday, Nove
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Dexter Capital Advisorsย โขย 1y
Attrition at Ola Electric is 2.5x of Ather, 5x of TVS and 12x of Hero ๐๐ The employee attrition woes at Bhavishโs company are simply too big to ignore, now that it is a public company. .. At 47.48%, for those who may not get it, this implies tha
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Startups | AI | info...ย โขย 7m
With the announcements of entry of Ultratech and Adani into this sector all eyes are on the Wires and Cables Market Branded Wires and Cables Market in India was estimated to be around Rs 64,000 crores in FY24. It is expected to grow around 13%-14% C
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Dexter Capital Advisorsย โขย 1y
3k crore of taxpayer money burnt in the last two years ๐๐ And Modi Govt is set to burn another Rs 1.2k crore in FY25 for what is clearly another Air India in the making. For what? And worse, this time, there may be no buyers either. .. FY23: Go
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