Elon Musk: You can measure intelligence by its ability to predict the future. “The right metric for intelligence is probably the ability to predict the future. You're as intelligent as you can predict the future well. Because if somebody claims this person or this AI is very intelligent, how good are its predictions? If its predictions are not very good, it's not that smart. To predict the future, you have to think critically about the past and constantly try to be less wrong.”
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