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Tushar Aher Patil

Trying to do better • 4h

RBI unlikely to rush into rate cuts despite US Federal Reserve easing, say experts. The US Federal Reserve recently cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points (bps) to the 4-4.25 percent range. This was the first reduction since December. This move has turned the spotlight on emerging markets, and while it does give the RBI more policy space and adds to its flexibility, experts largely agree the RBI is unlikely to immediately follow suit. The key takeaway is that the RBI's focus will remain firmly on domestic cues, particularly the growth–inflation balance. The central bank will calibrate its stance based on domestic inflation trends, rather than acting as a knee-jerk reaction to the Fed’s move. Key Points to Note: • Upcoming Review: The RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is scheduled to meet from September 29 to October 1. • Market Expectation: Markets would not be surprised if the RBI holds rates in the October review, making it the second expected pause following the August policy. • Outlook: Bankers have ruled out a rate cut in the upcoming review but do expect one more cut in the current fiscal year. • Impact on India: Rajesh Palviya, senior vice-president, research, Axis Securities, noted that the Fed's actions could attract foreign capital, potentially strengthening the rupee and benefiting stock indices such as the Sensex and Nifty. What are your predictions for the October policy review? Share your thoughts below! #RBIMonetaryPolicy #IndiaEconomy #RateCuts #FederalReserve #FinanceNews

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Looking at the current inflation data, it seems that the RBI might consider a rate cut, and the expectation is the same as India's economic growth has slowed down

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India's inflation rate has now come down to 3.16% year-on-year, which is roughly in line with expectations. Now, the key question is whether the RBI will opt for a rate cut in its next meeting or not.

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RBI might cut the rate by 25-30 BPS. Let's wait and see what happens next.

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