Most folks in music industry don't see success, But let's assume the probability for an average singer to deliver a hit song, is 20% - so ideally 2 out of 10 songs they launch do well. The average time taken from writing lyrics to shooting is a minimum of 9 months. So ideally an average singer has to wait for a minimum of 4 years (could be extended to 6 years) To master any craft and be at the top 1% you need to dedicate a decade.
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