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RV Dhameliya

Student • 20d

India's real GDP growth for FY26 may exceed 6.5% Real GDP growth is projected to exceed 6.5% for FY 2025–26. GVA (Gross Value Added) expected to rise over **6.3%** . Key Drivers Behind the Momentum 1. Resilient rural demand – supported by Rabi harvests, strong reservoir levels, and improved farm incomes . 2. Policy tailwinds – measures like income‑tax relief, food‑inflation tapering, and potential rate cuts could lift household disposable income . 3. Sustained government capex – with a ~10% increase planned, public investment is expected to bolster overall activity . 4. Export dynamics – while goods exports remain under pressure, service exports are picking up, supporting external demand . Additional Pressures & Outlook Inflation & fiscal health: CPI inflation likely above 4.2%, WPI near 2.7%, and fiscal deficit around 4.4% of GDP . Risks loom: Rippling global trade tension—especially tariff uncertainties—could weigh on growth . .

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