Recession ahead? Or just another overreaction? With global markets reacting to a fresh wave of tariffs, even the strongest stocks are tumbling. Suddenly, everyoneโs talking about recession, portfolio crashes, and global meltdowns. But is it really that bad? Hereโs whatโs actually happening: Tariffs are back in fashion. After decades of being low, countries are now taxing imports heavilyโhoping to boost local industries and reduce deficits. But this has side effects: higher consumer prices and slower global trade. That ripple effect hits company revenues, investor confidence, and eventually, your portfolio. In India's case, exports to the US total ~$87B out of our ~$800B overall. Thatโs around 10%. Not great, but not apocalyptic either. Now, zoom out a bit. We've seen this pattern beforeโ2008 crash, COVID crash, dotcom bust, and more. Every single time, markets eventually bounce back stronger. So what do we do? โ Build (or revisit) your emergency fundโ6 months of expenses, untouched. โ If youโre already investing, increase your SIP. Down markets = better long-term entries. โ Donโt chase small-caps or โcheapโ stocks just because theyโre red. Stay rational. Truth isโno one knows whether weโre heading into a recession or a recovery. But being prepared for both is better than panicking over one. So breathe. Ignore the noise. Stick to your game plan. And remember: sometimes, doing nothing is the best financial decision.
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