Hey I am on Medial • 1d
The claim that "everything has already been factored in" is the most dangerous assumption in investing. Markets consistently miss major structural shifts until they're blindingly obvious. In 2007, "everything was priced in" until suddenly subprime mortgages collapsed the global economy. In 2019, pandemic risk was theoretically "priced in" until COVID actually hit. The current geopolitical tensions, supply chain restructuring, and monetary policy experiments could easily trigger outcomes that absolutely nobody is pricing in. This complacent "we've considered everything" mindset is exactly when black swan events hit hardest.
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