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What the IMF forecasts say about India’s economic growth
Money Control
·
1y ago
Medial
The Indian economy is projected to experience robust growth, but it will be different from the strong growth seen during the 2000s. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts that GDP growth will be less than 7 percent in the years until 2029, following a strong 7.8 percent growth in 2023-24. This slower growth is attributed to the sluggishness in external demand and a comparative tepid growth in investment.
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Finmin pitches rating upgrade to S&P citing robust growth
Economic Times
·
2m ago
Medial
The Indian finance ministry is advocating for a sovereign rating upgrade from S&P, highlighting India's strong growth potential and resilient macroeconomic indicators amid global uncertainties. India’s robust growth projections, decreasing inflation, and improving debt-to-GDP ratio led the discussions. Currently, S&P maintains India at a 'BBB-' rating but with a positive outlook, while IMF forecasts continue to place India as the fastest-growing major economy. The country’s foreign reserves and steady services exports further bolster its economic standing.
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India to overtake Japan as World's fourth largest economy in 2025: IMF predicts.
Business Today
·
3m ago
Medial
India is projected to overtake Japan as the world's fourth-largest economy by 2025, with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasting India's nominal GDP to reach $4.187 trillion, slightly ahead of Japan's $4.186 trillion. This change highlights India's rapid economic growth, which has consistently surpassed that of other major economies. In 2025, the IMF forecasts a 6.3% real-term growth for India, a slight decrease from a previous estimate of 6.5%.
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World Bank maintains India's growth forecast at 6.3% amid global challenges
Business Today
·
2m ago
Medial
The World Bank has forecasted India's GDP growth at 6.3% for fiscal year 2026, closely aligning with the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) projection of 6.2% for the same period. In response, India's Finance Minister has set a target to reduce the country's debt-to-GDP ratio to 50% by FY31. These forecasts reflect the global economic landscape's complexities and underscore the impact of international trade challenges on India's economic trajectory.
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Govt appoints former RBI governor Urjit Patel as India ED at IMF
Economic Times
·
1d ago
Medial
The Indian government appointed former RBI Governor Urjit Patel as India’s Executive Director at the International Monetary Fund (IMF), succeeding Krishnamurthy V Subramanian. The appointment, approved by the Cabinet, will last three years. This move comes amid India’s concerns over IMF funds used by Pakistan potentially supporting cross-border terrorism. India's stance questioned IMF’s frequent bailouts for Pakistan, as seen in the recent $1 billion loan approval, with Patel’s appointment amid these issues.
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IMF says investigating a cyber-security incident
Reuters
·
1y ago
Medial
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has announced that it is currently investigating a cyber incident that occurred on February 16, 2024. The investigation has revealed that eleven IMF email accounts were compromised, but the affected accounts have since been secured. The IMF has not provided further details about the nature of the incident or the potential impact. The investigation is ongoing.
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IMF chief says AI holds risks, 'tremendous opportunity' for global economy
Economic Times
·
1y ago
Medial
According to the IMF chief, artificial intelligence (AI) poses risks to job security but also offers a tremendous opportunity to boost productivity and global growth. Approximately 60% of jobs in advanced economies will be affected by AI, while around 40% globally will be impacted. Higher-skilled jobs will experience a greater impact. However, the IMF report suggests that only half of the jobs impacted by AI will be negatively affected, with the rest possibly benefiting from enhanced productivity gains. The IMF emphasizes the importance of helping low-income countries to capitalize on AI's opportunities.
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US tariffs: Manufacturing & labour-intensive sectors to bear brunt, say experts
Economic Times
·
23d ago
Medial
Experts warn that increased US tariffs on India could hurt labor-intensive sectors and manufacturing, posing a threat to economic growth if maintained. Potential consequences include a decline in private capital expenditure, a muted labor market, and pressure on the rupee. Key sectors affected could be gems, textiles, and leather. An estimated 0.4% GDP growth drag is anticipated if the tariffs remain, potentially lowering India’s FY26 GDP growth forecast to below 6%.
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Short on cash, El Salvador doubles down on Bitcoin dream
Economic Times
·
1y ago
Medial
El Salvador is doubling down on its Bitcoin dream despite economic challenges, with President Nayib Bukele pushing ahead with plans to make the country a cryptocurrency haven. This move may affect the country's chances of receiving financial support from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), as the IMF has recommended removing Bitcoin's legal tender status. Critics question the decision to invest taxpayer dollars into a risky asset, while most Salvadorans remain hesitant about using Bitcoin due to concerns about its volatility and lack of understanding. Nevertheless, Bukele's Bitcoin swing has rebranded El Salvador and boosted tourism.
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Domestic growth engines remain strong, could help keep economic growth close to 6.5% this fiscal
Business Today
·
4m ago
Medial
India's economy is projected to achieve close to 6.5% GDP growth despite global trade tensions, driven by strong domestic demand and factors such as a forecasted normal monsoon, decreasing inflation, and lower crude oil prices. The Reserve Bank of India and the Economic Survey 2024-25 support optimistic growth forecasts. Although Fitch Ratings slightly reduced growth estimates due to trade war concerns, overall domestic economic conditions remain positive, with potential buoyant rural consumption due to favorable weather predictions.
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India to remain fastest-growing economy with 6.5% GDP in FY26, but reforms key for future momentum: IMF
Business Today
·
6m ago
Medial
India is projected to remain the fastest-growing economy with a 6.5% GDP growth in FY26, according to the IMF. However, sustained momentum requires comprehensive reforms, including labor market improvements, better human capital, and increased female workforce participation. The IMF also suggests stable policies, improved business ease, and deeper trade integration via tariff and non-tariff reductions. Additionally, India targets achieving advanced economy status by 2047, with previous GDP growths of 6.2% and 5.6% in recent quarters.
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