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Inflation expected to average 4.5% this fiscal year: CRISIL

YourStoryYourStory · 1y ago
Inflation expected to average 4.5% this fiscal year: CRISIL
Medial

Leading ratings and economic research firm CRISIL predicts that inflation will average around 4.5% for the current financial year. This projection is based on the assumption of a normal monsoon. Food inflation is expected to decrease, while non-food inflation may rise slightly. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate declined marginally to 4.75% in May, down from April's 4.8%. The report highlights concerns over persistent increases in food categories, particularly cereals and pulses. Despite this, rural demand is expected to catch up with urban consumption due to expectations of an above-normal monsoon, while tighter credit conditions may impact the urban economy. Growth in goods exports could also be constrained by slower global growth. As a result, GDP growth is anticipated to slow to 6.8% in the current fiscal year compared to the previous year's 8.2%.

UPI records marginal dip in June with 18.4 Bn transactions

EntrackrEntrackr · 2m ago
UPI records marginal dip in June with 18.4 Bn transactions
Medial

UPI records marginal dip in June with 18.4 Bn transactions This reflects a month-on-month (MoM) dip of around 1.5% in volume and 4.4% in value. On a year-on-year (YoY) basis, UPI volumes in June grew 32%, while the transaction value rose 20%. After hitting an all-time high in May, Unified Payments Interface (UPI) transactions slightly declined in June 2025 in both volume and value. According to data released by the National Payments Corporation of India (NPCI), the platform processed 18.40 billion transactions worth Rs 24.04 lakh crore in June, compared to 18.68 billion transactions worth Rs 25.14 lakh crore in May. This reflects a month-on-month (MoM) dip of around 1.5% in volume and 4.4% in value. On a year-on-year (YoY) basis, UPI volumes in June grew 32%, while the transaction value rose 20%. The average daily transaction count stood at 613 million in June, slightly higher than 602 million in May, while the average daily transaction value was marginally lower at Rs 80,131 crore compared to Rs 81,106 crore in the previous month. The higher daily average in June is likely due to the fewer number of days in the month compared to May. As of May, PhonePe retained its lead with a 46.47% share of the total UPI volume, followed by Google Pay with a 36.09% market share. Paytm is the third-largest UPI player with a 6.84% share of the UPI volume. New entrants like Navi, Flipkart’s super.money, and Fampay by Trio are also making notable contributions to the overall UPI volume. Besides India, UPI is currently live in Bhutan, Nepal, Mauritius, Sri Lanka, Singapore, France, Oman, and the UAE. According to media reports, NPCI is also aiming to expand UPI to additional countries, including Qatar, Thailand, Malaysia, and other Southeast Asian nations, while the UK, Oman, and the Maldives have shown interest or are in the early stages of integration.

UPI transactions rise 4.4% in May to 18.68 Bn

EntrackrEntrackr · 3m ago
UPI transactions rise 4.4% in May to 18.68 Bn
Medial

UPI transactions rise 4.4% in May to 18.68 Bn According to data released by the National Payments Corporation of India (NPCI), the total transaction value in May stood at Rs 25.14 lakh crore, compared to Rs 23.95 lakh crore in April. Unified Payments Interface (UPI) continued its upward trajectory in May 2025 with 18.68 billion transactions, a 4.4% month-on-month (MoM) increase from 17.89 billion in April. The transaction volume also reflects a 33% year-on-year (YoY) growth. According to data released by the NPCI, the total transaction value in May stood at Rs 25.14 lakh crore, compared to Rs 23.95 lakh crore in April. This marks a 5% MoM jump, while on a YoY basis, the transaction value registered a 23% growth. The daily average transaction volume in May rose to 602 million, compared to 596 million in April. The daily average transaction value stood at Rs 81,106 crore, up from Rs 79,831 crore in the previous month. In March, UPI processed 18.30 billion transactions worth Rs 24.77 lakh crore, indicating that May’s performance has surpassed both the previous months in terms of volume and value. As of April, PhonePe continued to lead among UPI apps, followed by Google Pay, Paytm, Navi, and Super.money. PhonePe held the largest share with 46.73% of all UPI transactions, processing 8.36 billion transactions. Google Pay came next with a 36% share, handling 6.48 billion transactions. Together, PhonePe and Google Pay accounted for almost 83% of the total UPI transaction volume. Recently, gold-saving app Jar also entered the consumer payments space with a UPI app in partnership with Unity Small Finance Bank as the Payment Service Provider. Entrackr exclusively reported the development on May 29.

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