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Hope is brightening for India's Goldilocks scenario

Economic Times

Economic Times · 23d ago

Hope is brightening for India's Goldilocks scenario

India's economy is entering a "Goldilocks" phase with moderate, sustainable growth and controlled inflation. Retail inflation in June fell to 2.1%, much below projections, driven by easing food prices and stable energy costs. This trend could lead to further rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), which aims for economic stability through data-driven, flexible policies. Despite global uncertainties, strong domestic demand and potential trade agreements, especially with the U.S., support India’s economic resilience.

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10-minute delivery is boosting Indian economy's ‘brightening spot’, highlights RBI

Economic Times

Economic Times · 6m ago

10-minute delivery is boosting Indian economy's ‘brightening spot’, highlights RBI

The Reserve Bank of India's recent bulletin highlights private consumption as a significant driver of economic recovery in India, largely fueled by e-commerce and quick commerce. The RBI emphasizes the importance of fostering competition in these sectors without restrictive measures. Quick commerce, expanding beyond groceries to various domains, showcases potential dominance in retail. The RBI also stresses boosting consumption to revive economic "animal spirits." Rising demand in urban and rural segments and the housing market further support this optimistic outlook.

Can brightening clouds buy us time to fight climate change?

The Verge

The Verge · 1y ago

Can brightening clouds buy us time to fight climate change?

A group of leading scientists has outlined a research roadmap for testing the feasibility of artificially brightening Earth's clouds to reflect more sunlight and cool the planet. This strategy, known as marine cloud brightening (MCB), involves spraying saltwater into the air from ships to shade the surface of the Earth. However, there is still much uncertainty surrounding the potential risks and benefits of solar geoengineering techniques like MCB. The authors of the research paper want to proceed with caution and emphasize the need for stronger guidelines and regulations for such approaches.

India to come out stronger rather than weaker in current trade challenges, says Arvind Panagariya

Business Today

Business Today · 3m ago

India to come out stronger rather than weaker in current trade challenges, says Arvind Panagariya

Arvind Panagariya, Chairman of the 16th Finance Commission, is optimistic about India's future amid trade challenges. He believes trade agreements with the US and EU will position India advantageously in a 'China Plus One' scenario. With US-China tensions likely to continue, Panagariya foresees India benefiting from successful free trade negotiations with the US, EU, and UK by the year's end, enhancing India's global trade influence and economic prospects.

India's Domestic Demand Sufficient to Drive Start-Up Ecosystem's Growth: CEA Nageswaran

OutlookIndia

OutlookIndia · 4m ago

India's Domestic Demand Sufficient to Drive Start-Up Ecosystem's Growth: CEA Nageswaran

India's strong domestic consumption provides a robust foundation for the growth of its start-up ecosystem, according to Chief Economic Adviser Venkatramanan Anantha Nageswaran. Despite tariffs and geopolitical challenges, the domestic market supports a projected economic growth of 6.5% annually. Nageswaran emphasized the importance of leveraging infrastructure, manufacturing, services, and domestic capital from pension and insurance funds. He advocates for technology that complements labor and highlights India's services exports' potential in the current global scenario.

Nykaa may grow at 20% CAGR till FY27: Jefferies

Economic Times

Economic Times · 1y ago

Nykaa may grow at 20% CAGR till FY27: Jefferies

Nykaa, a beauty and fashion retail brand, is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 20% from FY24 to FY27, according to brokerage firm Jefferies. In an optimistic scenario, the growth rate could reach 25%, while in a pessimistic scenario, it may be around 15%. Nykaa's gross merchandise value (GMV) for beauty and personal care (BPC) and fashion categories is projected to grow at a CAGR of approximately 25%. The company is expanding offline and venturing into global markets. Nykaa's own brands contribute a significant portion of their GMV.

Embassy REIT explores acquisition in Chennai, mulls fund-raising

Thehindubusinessline

Thehindubusinessline · 1y ago

Embassy REIT explores acquisition in Chennai, mulls fund-raising

Embassy REIT, the largest real estate investment trust in Asia, is considering acquisition opportunities in Chennai and exploring inorganic growth options. The market conditions have improved, with higher rentals and occupancies in existing buildings and increased investor interest. The company is now looking to raise funds to support its expansion plans and has applied for demarcation of additional areas under amended SEZ rules. Despite the global economic scenario, India's office sector has shown resilience with balanced demand-supply dynamics and marginal rent growth. In Q3FY24, Embassy REIT achieved its full-year leasing guidance and witnessed recoveries in markets like Noida and Pune.

Indian consumer demand could be under pressure as early monsoon below normal

VCCircle

VCCircle · 1y ago

Indian consumer demand could be under pressure as early monsoon below normal

India is experiencing below normal rainfall during the monsoon season, which could have a negative impact on consumer demand and the agricultural sector. The country has received 20% less rainfall than average since June 1, with most regions experiencing shortfalls. This could affect the growth of crops such as rice, cotton, soybeans, and sugarcane. The monsoon is crucial for India's economy, providing nearly 70% of the required rainfall for farming. However, there is hope that the monsoon will revive and alleviate the rainfall deficit. Heat wave conditions in northern states are also affecting temperatures.

Are Indian businesses headed for a David vs Goliath showdown?

Livemint

Livemint · 10d ago

Are Indian businesses headed for a David vs Goliath showdown?

India's market landscape, traditionally dominated by large firms, has seen a shift as smaller companies have gained ground since the COVID-19 pandemic. However, their recent momentum appears to be waning. In the fiscal year 2024-25, firms outside the top 10% accounted for only 7.3% of total net profits among BSE-listed companies, reflecting no significant growth over the past years. This scenario suggests a potential return to the pre-pandemic "David vs Goliath" dynamic.

Banks' asset quality to improve further over next 12 months: RBI report

VCCircle

VCCircle · 1y ago

Banks' asset quality to improve further over next 12 months: RBI report

According to a report released by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), the asset quality of Indian banks is expected to further improve over the next 12 months. The report shows that the gross non-performing asset (GNPA) ratio of banks decreased to 3.2% as of September 2023. Under the baseline scenario, the GNPA ratio is predicted to improve to 3.1% by September 2024. The report also highlights the stability and resilience of India's financial sector, with banks being well-capitalized and able to meet minimum capital requirements even under severe stress scenarios.

Tariff woes temporary, India’s equity story still intact: Seshadri Sen

Economic Times

Economic Times · 7d ago

Tariff woes temporary, India’s equity story still intact: Seshadri Sen

Seshadri Sen of Emkay Global Financial Services discusses the potential impact of tariffs on India's equity market, suggesting a worst-case scenario of 25%. Despite short-term volatility and weak earnings, the long-term Indian equity story remains strong, particularly driven by cyclical recovery in consumption. Sen remains positive on consumer discretionary and industrials, while cautious about financials and FMCG sectors. He highlights internet, EMS, and airlines as strong sectors with structural growth potential.

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