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Fed Speaks, Markets Move: Decoding the Central Bank’s Latest Policy Outcome

OutlookIndia

OutlookIndia · 2m ago

Fed Speaks, Markets Move: Decoding the Central Bank’s Latest Policy Outcome

The US Federal Reserve recently decided to maintain interest rates between 4.25% and 4.5%, adopting a cautious approach amid ongoing trade tensions and uncertainties. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized a "wait-and-watch" strategy, relying on hard data to guide future decisions, especially concerning tariffs' impact on inflation and unemployment. Despite market expectations of potential rate cuts, the Fed remains confident in the economy's resilience and prefers to observe further economic developments before making any adjustments.

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Fed seen nearly as likely to cut rates by 50 bps as 25 bps

Livemint

Livemint · 11m ago

Fed seen nearly as likely to cut rates by 50 bps as 25 bps

Financial markets are indicating a higher chance of the Federal Reserve delivering a larger interest-rate cut at its policy meeting next week rather than a more standard reduction. While a quarter-point cut is still considered the slightly more probable outcome, futures tied to the Fed's policy rate now suggest a 47% chance of a half-percentage point reduction. Traders are betting that the US central bank may make a more aggressive move to counteract the weakening labor market.

MC Interview: 'US bond yields might see upward trend if inflation remains a concern, Fed maintains hawkish stance'

Money Control

Money Control · 1y ago

MC Interview: 'US bond yields might see upward trend if inflation remains a concern, Fed maintains hawkish stance'

Sonam Srivastava, Founder and Fund Manager at Wright Research, believes that the recent rise in US treasury yields may be a short-term adjustment as the market digests the implications for inflation and potential policy changes. Depending on economic data and Fed actions, yields may continue to rise if inflation remains a concern and the Fed maintains a hawkish stance. The impact of rising yields on global equity markets, including India, could put downward pressure on stock prices. The possibility of stagflation has been hinted at, but further data and Fed decisions will determine if this becomes a reality.

RBI cuts rates for a second time as US tariffs add to growth risks

VCCircle

VCCircle · 4m ago

RBI cuts rates for a second time as US tariffs add to growth risks

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) cut its key repo rate by 25 basis points to 6.00% for the second time to boost the sluggish economy amid pressures from U.S. tariffs. The Monetary Policy Committee made this decision following the initial rate cut in February. The new U.S. tariffs pose a threat to India's GDP growth estimates. Meanwhile, inflation dropped to 3.6% in February, below the central bank’s target, offering policymakers flexibility.

Budget 2024-25: Decoding The Big Manufacturing Push

Inc42 · 1y ago

Budget 2024-25: Decoding The Big Manufacturing Push

The central government in India has decided to reduce the basic customs duty (BCD) for critical mobile components to 15% and exempt custom duties on 25 key minerals. This move is expected to result in price cuts across smartphone segments and significant cost reductions in battery production for electric vehicles.

Nifty, Sensex open flat, volatility expected due to expiry in F&O today

Livemint

Livemint · 8m ago

Nifty, Sensex open flat, volatility expected due to expiry in F&O today

Indian stock markets opened flat today as consolidation continued, but with the expiry date approaching, some volatility is expected. The Nifty 50 index opened with a slight dip, while the BSE Sensex index opened marginally down. Experts believe that the Indian markets may experience volatility due to the expiry in the F&O segment. The focus is now on the US central bank, with the likelihood of a Fed rate cut standing at over 98%. Other Asian markets also rallied, with Japan's Nikkei 225 and Taiwan's Weighted Index gaining significantly.

Sensex, Nifty end higher, led by IT and financial stocks

VCCircle

VCCircle · 11m ago

Sensex, Nifty end higher, led by IT and financial stocks

Indian shares closed higher on Tuesday, driven by IT and financial stocks, as expectations of an aggressive rate cut by the US Federal Reserve in September boosted sentiment and sparked a global equities rally. The NSE Nifty 50 index rose 0.51% to 24,698.85, and the S&P BSE Sensex settled 0.47% higher at 80,802.86. IT companies saw gains of 0.81% and reached a record high, while financial services and private banks increased by 0.8% to 1.2%. Investors are now waiting for the minutes of the latest Fed policy meeting and Fed Chair Powell's address for further insights.

Nifty hits fresh high ahead of US CPI, Fed policy outcome; IT stocks lead gains

Money Control

Money Control · 1y ago

Nifty hits fresh high ahead of US CPI, Fed policy outcome; IT stocks lead gains

The Nifty Midcap 100 reached a new record high of 54,094.40, while the Nifty 50 climbed over 150 points to set a fresh lifetime high of 23,441.95. IT and oil & gas stocks led the gains, while FMCG and consumer durables saw declines. The rise in the indices preceded the US CPI data and the Fed policy outcome. Midcap and smallcap stocks are presenting a buy-on-dips opportunity with positive earnings outlook, according to Nirav Karkera, Head of Research at Fisdom. 11 out of the major 13 sectoral indices were in green while Nifty FMCG and Nifty Realty fell slightly.

Trump orders crypto working group to draft new regulations, explore national stockpile

Economic Times

Economic Times · 6m ago

Trump orders crypto working group to draft new regulations, explore national stockpile

President Donald Trump has ordered the creation of a working group to propose new cryptocurrency regulations and explore a national crypto stockpile, aiming to revamp U.S. crypto policy. The order also bans U.S. central bank digital currencies and protects banking services for crypto firms. This move, welcomed by the crypto industry, shifts the U.S. digital asset policy and could mainstream cryptocurrencies. Trump’s administration seeks to foster digital asset innovation, contrasting previous regulatory crackdowns.

Fed holds rates steady, sees just one cut in 2024 despite inflation progress

Livemint

Livemint · 1y ago

Fed holds rates steady, sees just one cut in 2024 despite inflation progress

The US Federal Reserve has decided to keep interest rates steady and delayed rate cuts until later in the year. Previously, the Fed had projected three quarter-percentage-point reductions, but this has now been reduced to a single reduction. The decision comes as the Fed acknowledges progress towards its inflation target, but also raises estimates for the necessary actions to control inflation. The central bank's new projections show a higher long-run interest rate, indicating a need for more restraint to combat rising prices.

Power, infra, clean tech among top FY25 themes for this fund manager

Money Control

Money Control · 1y ago

Power, infra, clean tech among top FY25 themes for this fund manager

Ashwini Shami, EVP and portfolio manager at OmniScience Capital, predicts that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will follow the lead of the US Federal Reserve and may make a necessary policy decision in response to a potential rate cut by the Fed in May or June. Shami believes that consumer staples are overpriced compared to other sectors like banking, infrastructure, and power, which offer better growth potential at lower valuations. While the rural market may benefit temporarily from higher economic activities during elections, Shami does not expect it to outperform the overall economy. He suggests that investors consider adding gold to their portfolios for stability and protection against inflation, but views equities as a more attractive investment option. Shami also highlights the long-term growth opportunities in the IT sector due to digital transformation and the availability of digital talent in India. As for the RBI repo rate, Shami expects any rate cuts to be driven by the actions of other central banks, particularly the US Fed. He identifies power, banking, infrastructure, NBFCs, and clean tech as top investment themes for FY25.

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