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Daily Voice: RBI unlikely to hint at interest rate cut in October policy meeting, says First Water Capital's Arun Chulani

Money Control

Money Control · 1y ago

Daily Voice: RBI unlikely to hint at interest rate cut in October policy meeting, says First Water Capital's Arun Chulani

Arun Chulani, Co-Founder of First Water Capital, believes that the Indian central bank (RBI) is unlikely to hint at a rate cut in its October policy meeting. Chulani stated that the RBI runs a tight ship and with the economy still growing at 7-8%, there is no immediate requirement for a stimulus to increase demand. He also emphasized the potential for growth in the chemical sector and highlighted the attractiveness of sectors like flexible packaging and private banks in the current market environment. Chulani mentioned that India offers long-term tailwinds, such as young demographics and infrastructure spending, making it an appealing investment destination.

Related News

RBI Is Said to Shore Up Banking Liquidity Before Rate Decision

Livemint

Livemint · 10m ago

RBI Is Said to Shore Up Banking Liquidity Before Rate Decision

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has been working to stabilize the rupee and shore up banking system liquidity ahead of an important policy decision. The RBI has conducted buy-sell swaps in the forwards market, estimated at $3 billion, to inject rupee liquidity. These moves come as the Indian economy is experiencing its slowest growth in almost two years, leading to speculation that the RBI may take liquidity-easing measures at its upcoming policy meeting. Analysts have suggested that the RBI may announce measures such as a cut in the cash-reserve ratio to inject liquidity into the system.

Pause gives banks breathing space, rate cut likely in December: SBI MD

Economic Times

Economic Times · 28d ago

Pause gives banks breathing space, rate cut likely in December: SBI MD

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) maintained its policy rates during the latest Monetary Policy Committee meeting, providing banks with needed breathing space, according to Vinay M Tonse, Managing Director of State Bank of India (SBI). The pause helps banks align operations without added margin pressure. Tonse anticipates a potential rate cut in December, supporting further growth and credit flow. Additionally, RBI's proposed risk-based deposit insurance could benefit large banks like SBI.

RBI to keep repo rate unchanged at meeting next week, chances of rate cut in Feb increased: Report

Livemint

Livemint · 11m ago

RBI to keep repo rate unchanged at meeting next week, chances of rate cut in Feb increased: Report

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is expected to maintain its policy rate in its upcoming meeting, following a significant slowdown in GDP growth for the second quarter. However, there is an increased likelihood of a rate cut in February, as per a report by HDFC Bank. The report highlights weak demand side indicators, particularly in consumption and overall investment. Nevertheless, there is optimism for a recovery in rural demand in the second half of the fiscal year, driven by strong agricultural performance and increased government spending. RBI's last meeting in October kept the policy rate unchanged.

As RBI relents on policy stance, what is the outlook for Indian equities?

Money Control

Money Control · 1y ago

As RBI relents on policy stance, what is the outlook for Indian equities?

the MPC meeting, several factors were considered that led to the change in policy stance: 1. Economic slowdown: The Indian economy has been facing a slowdown, with GDP growth falling to its lowest level in recent years. The rate cut is expected to provide a boost to the economy and revive growth. 2. Inflation outlook: The inflation rate has remained well within the RBI's target range, providing room for a rate cut. Lower interest rates can help stimulate consumption and investment, driving inflation higher. 3. Global factors: Weak global growth and uncertainty due to trade tensions have also influenced the decision. The RBI believes that a rate cut could help counter potential external risks and support domestic demand. 4. Liquidity conditions: The banking system has been facing liquidity constraints, which have impacted credit flow in the economy. The rate cut is expected to improve liquidity conditions and make credit more easily available. 5. Policy transmission: Despite previous rate cuts, the benefits were not fully passed on to borrowers. The RBI expects that a change in policy stance will encourage banks to transmit the rate cut to borrowers more effectively. 6. Market expectations: Market participants were anticipating a rate cut, and the change in policy stance aligns with these expectations. This move is seen as a positive signal for the stock markets and investor sentiment.

RBI rate cut expected as inflation eases and credit growth slows in India - BusinessToday

Business Today

Business Today · 4m ago

RBI rate cut expected as inflation eases and credit growth slows in India - BusinessToday

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is expected to announce a third consecutive rate cut of 25 basis points in its upcoming meeting to support growth and maintain financial stability amid controlled inflation. Led by RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra, the meeting aims to shift the monetary stance from neutral to accommodative. Some forecasts suggest a larger rate cut of 50 basis points to counter economic uncertainty. Banks are already reducing interest rates on savings and fixed deposits.

How should debt fund investors invest post the RBI policy?

Money Control

Money Control · 1y ago

How should debt fund investors invest post the RBI policy?

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has left its key lending rate unchanged at 6.5% as it focuses on inflation and economic growth. The RBI governor, Shaktikanta Das, increased the country's GDP growth forecast from 7% to 7.2%, while keeping the Consumer Price Index forecast at 4.5%. Two external members of the Monetary Policy Committee voted in favour of a rate cut. Experts believe the RBI will wait for inflation to come closer to its target of 4% before easing monetary policy. The market is expecting a shallow rate cut starting at the end of 2019.

Commerce minister Piyush Goyal may meet top ecommerce executives on Wednesday

Economic Times

Economic Times · 2y ago

Commerce minister Piyush Goyal may meet top ecommerce executives on Wednesday

Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal is expected to hold a meeting with top executives from e-commerce companies on Wednesday, according to Economic Times. The meeting aims to address various aspects of the e-commerce sector, discussing issues such as policy regulations, industry challenges, and potential opportunities for growth. It presents an opportunity for stakeholders to engage with the government and voice their concerns.

Fed seen nearly as likely to cut rates by 50 bps as 25 bps

Livemint

Livemint · 1y ago

Fed seen nearly as likely to cut rates by 50 bps as 25 bps

Financial markets are indicating a higher chance of the Federal Reserve delivering a larger interest-rate cut at its policy meeting next week rather than a more standard reduction. While a quarter-point cut is still considered the slightly more probable outcome, futures tied to the Fed's policy rate now suggest a 47% chance of a half-percentage point reduction. Traders are betting that the US central bank may make a more aggressive move to counteract the weakening labor market.

Indian markets rally after RBI maintains rates, changes stance to neutral

YourStory

YourStory · 1y ago

Indian markets rally after RBI maintains rates, changes stance to neutral

- BSE Sensex jumped over 550 points to revisit the 82,000-level in morning trade on Wednesday. - RBI changed its monetary policy stance to 'neutral', hinting at a possible rate cut in future. - Buying in banking and IT stocks contributed to the positive trend in the markets. - Some major gainers among the 30 Sensex companies were State Bank of India, Axis Bank, Bajaj Finance, Tata Motors, Bharti Airtel, PowerGrid, and HCL Technologies. - The RBI decided to keep the policy rate unchanged at 6.5% for the tenth consecutive time. - The RBI remains watchful of elevated food inflation despite India's strong GDP growth.

SBI Research anticipates RBI repo rate cut in February policy meet

Livemint

Livemint · 10m ago

SBI Research anticipates RBI repo rate cut in February policy meet

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is expected to cut repo rates in February 2025, regardless of the impact of the rupee's weakness against the dollar, according to a report by SBI Research. The report predicts a cumulative 75 basis points rate cut. The RBI recently announced its decision to keep the repo rate at 6.50%, maintaining a neutral monetary policy stance. The report also mentions the RBI's upward revision of inflation projection for 2024-25 and the downward revision of GDP growth forecast.

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