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Benign inflation should shield India from global headwinds: Report

Economic Times

Economic Times · 2m ago

Benign inflation should shield India from global headwinds: Report

The Reserve Bank of India's June bulletin suggests that benign inflation might protect India from global economic challenges stemming from trade barriers and geopolitical uncertainties. Emerging tariff deadlines could impact global growth, but India's economy shows resilience with the highest growth among major economies. Inflation dipped to 2.8% in May, allowing room for potential easing. However, banking sector growth slows, despite higher foreign direct investment, as competition intensifies in deposit spaces.

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Price rise, funding slump may dampen cloud kitchen growth

Economic Times

Economic Times · 1y ago

Price rise, funding slump may dampen cloud kitchen growth

Cloud kitchen startups in India may face challenges in maintaining their revenue growth due to sustained inflation and reduced funding for startups. The earnings reports of listed restaurant and food companies indicate sluggish growth amid macroeconomic headwinds. The y-o-y revenue growth for the cloud kitchen segment contracted in the first half of FY24 compared to previous fiscal years. Price increases to tackle food inflation may have reached their peak, and competition from smaller brands and local chains has also intensified. The focus now is on sustainable growth and profitability in the cloud kitchen industry.

RBI wades into a perpetual debate on inflation

Livemint

Livemint · 7d ago

RBI wades into a perpetual debate on inflation

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has released a discussion paper addressing its inflation-targeting framework, initiating a debate on whether monetary policy should focus on headline or core inflation, seven months before renewal. The current framework, reviewed every five years, was set in 2021, targeting 4% inflation with a tolerance band of +/-2%. The debate highlights the complexities in balancing factors like food inflation against overall price stability and credibility of monetary policy.

Inflation band in India can be narrowed to 1% - 1.5% from 2% to improve policy effectiveness: Report

Economic Times

Economic Times · 1d ago

Inflation band in India can be narrowed to 1% - 1.5% from 2% to improve policy effectiveness: Report

The report by JM Financials suggests narrowing India's current inflation band from 2% to 1-1.5% for more effective policy, citing Asian peers like Indonesia. This could enhance the Reserve Bank of India's policy effectiveness and credibility. Currently, the RBI targets a 2-6% inflation band with 4% as the midpoint. A public review on this framework is due for feedback, with decisions expected by April 2026. Headline inflation remains relevant for India due to food price weight.

Cooling vegetable prices help bring CPI inflation to five-month low in Jan

Business Today

Business Today · 6m ago

Cooling vegetable prices help bring CPI inflation to five-month low in Jan

In January 2025, India's retail inflation eased to 4.31%, primarily due to falling vegetable prices. Further declines are anticipated, with February inflation projected at around 4% by ICRA and 3.9%-4% by India Ratings and Research. Kotak Mahindra Bank suggests this could permit a 25 bps rate cut by the MPC, though INR depreciation should be monitored. Consumer food price inflation dropped to 6.02% in January. The RBI projects retail inflation at 4.4% for Q4 and 4.5% for Q1 FY26.

Economists split on interest rate cuts as inflation hits six-year low

Economic Times

Economic Times · 1m ago

Economists split on interest rate cuts as inflation hits six-year low

Economists are divided on whether the Reserve Bank of India should cut interest rates amid six-year low inflation. Some argue for a rate cut in the upcoming August policy, citing low inflation, while others suggest maintaining rates due to uncertain future trends and trade developments. The RBI’s decision will consider GDP projections and recent inflation data, with the central bank focusing on price stability. The repo rate has already been reduced by 100 basis points since February.

Indian rupee ends flat as market awaits key inflation data in US and India

Economic Times

Economic Times · 16d ago

Indian rupee ends flat as market awaits key inflation data in US and India

The Indian rupee ended mostly unchanged as traders awaited key inflation data from the U.S. and India, crucial for gauging interest rate trajectories. Market caution was also attributed to scheduled global geopolitical events and the impact of U.S. tariffs, contributing to uncertainty in the economic outlook. Despite recent U.S. job data suggesting potential Federal Reserve rate cuts, inflation figures remain pivotal, affecting both local and global economic strategies. Asian currencies mirrored caution amid these developments.

RBI's policy rate cut to boost growth as inflation eases: BoB report

Economic Times

Economic Times · 2m ago

RBI's policy rate cut to boost growth as inflation eases: BoB report

The Reserve Bank of India's decision to cut the policy rate significantly aims to boost economic growth as inflation pressures ease. A Bank of Baroda report highlights that the central bank's 50 basis-point rate reduction, alongside a phased cut in the Cash Reserve Ratio, is expected to increase liquidity and support credit flow. This move aligns with global efforts to monitor growth and inflation, with attention now on the US Federal Reserve's upcoming decisions.

Inflation expected to average 4.5% this fiscal year: CRISIL

YourStory

YourStory · 1y ago

Inflation expected to average 4.5% this fiscal year: CRISIL

Leading ratings and economic research firm CRISIL predicts that inflation will average around 4.5% for the current financial year. This projection is based on the assumption of a normal monsoon. Food inflation is expected to decrease, while non-food inflation may rise slightly. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate declined marginally to 4.75% in May, down from April's 4.8%. The report highlights concerns over persistent increases in food categories, particularly cereals and pulses. Despite this, rural demand is expected to catch up with urban consumption due to expectations of an above-normal monsoon, while tighter credit conditions may impact the urban economy. Growth in goods exports could also be constrained by slower global growth. As a result, GDP growth is anticipated to slow to 6.8% in the current fiscal year compared to the previous year's 8.2%.

Google rejects app store age verification for online content

Economic Times

Economic Times · 2m ago

Google rejects app store age verification for online content

Google has rejected Meta's proposal for app store age verification, citing ineffectiveness and privacy risks. They argue that sharing age data with developers, even for benign apps, poses dangers to children and doesn't adequately protect underage users on devices like desktops or shared family gadgets. Google asserts that age verification should focus on specific websites or apps, not at the operating system level. Apple's App Store shares similar reservations against Meta’s proposal.

TCS shares: InCred lowers target price, sees productivity pass-back & 'America First' as key headwinds

Business Today

Business Today · 5m ago

TCS shares: InCred lowers target price, sees productivity pass-back & 'America First' as key headwinds

InCred Equities has reduced Tata Consultancy Services' (TCS) earnings estimates due to anticipated slower global growth, altered client IT spending patterns, and a pass-back of productivity gains driven by artificial intelligence (AI). Despite these challenges, TCS shares rose slightly by 0.36% to Rs 3,496.55 on Monday. However, the stock has declined by 14.98% on a year-to-date basis. The report highlights ongoing headwinds impacting TCS, such as "America First" policies and productivity pass-backs.

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